Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.180809 11.773630 13.479760 15.437061 17.614101 19.954885 22.655567
2025-02-23 7.973329 10.016191 12.344371 15.173133 18.495153 22.250388 26.792893
2025-03-02 6.391344 8.632722 11.327420 14.762970 18.980639 23.942388 30.169895
2025-03-09 5.332006 7.686013 10.653084 14.596387 19.622207 25.733187 33.636688
2025-03-16 4.433236 6.800372 9.919907 14.227849 19.907705 27.019774 36.463006
2025-03-23 3.874066 6.283805 9.587385 14.304075 20.705586 28.921897 40.072243
2025-03-30 3.373018 5.777379 9.201469 14.246964 21.282183 30.519617 43.307415
2025-04-06 3.019637 5.439028 9.006386 14.414137 22.136977 32.481146 47.049796
2025-04-13 2.715287 5.135144 8.824004 14.567530 22.954656 34.396537 50.766651
2025-04-20 2.516124 4.972912 8.831345 14.982366 24.140739 36.834268 55.241546
2025-04-27 2.310970 4.774455 8.759915 15.262529 25.128977 39.014247 59.411008
2025-05-04 2.069850 4.483754 8.513488 15.249439 25.671144 40.568735 62.741126
2025-05-11 1.735763 3.986373 7.890019 14.607673 25.244254 40.730616 64.134004
2025-05-18 1.524403 3.688382 7.570417 14.421493 25.486463 41.849387 66.897531
2025-05-25 1.311755 3.357396 7.161189 14.054134 25.417855 42.493624 68.978183
2025-06-01 1.156808 3.120890 6.896250 13.904662 25.674742 43.615803 71.768306
2025-06-08 0.995125 2.845032 6.531595 13.554399 25.582548 44.194618 73.757324
2025-06-15 0.902775 2.708843 6.416555 13.629489 26.179793 45.833968 77.354217
2025-06-22 0.806233 2.547879 6.237681 13.575241 26.553032 47.128974 80.454749
2025-06-29 0.741227 2.452834 6.180623 13.736410 27.289557 49.005380 84.473579
2025-07-06 0.681014 2.360372 6.119867 13.884161 28.003835 50.859783 88.493558
2025-07-13 0.647630 2.332762 6.191514 14.283530 29.163532 53.449141 93.697204
2025-07-20 0.605985 2.276525 6.196684 14.553283 30.102641 55.702802 98.420998